H/T PNJ.com
WASHINGTON
— It’s health care brinksmanship, with hundreds of billions of dollars and the
well-being of millions of people at stake.
President
Barack Obama’s health care law expands Medicaid, the federal-state health
program for low-income people, but cost-wary states must decide whether to take
the deal.
Turn
it down, and governor’s risk coming off as callous toward their neediest residents.
Not to mention the likely second-guessing for walking away from a pot of
federal dollars estimated at nearly $1 trillion nationally over a decade.
If
the Obama administration were to compromise, say by sweetening the offer to woo
a reluctant state, such as Florida has been under Gov. Rick Scott, it would
face immediate demands from 49 others for similar deals that could run up the
tab by tens of billions of dollars.
As
state legislatures look ahead to their 2013 sessions, the calculating and the
lobbying have already begun.
Conservative
opponents of the health care law are leaning on lawmakers to turn down the
Medicaid money. Hospitals, doctors groups, advocates for the poor, and some
business associations are pressing them to accept it.
“Here’s
the big thing: The state does not want to expand Medicaid and get stuck with
the bill,” said Dr. Bill Hazel, Virginia’s health secretary.
Medicaid
covers nearly 60 million low-income and disabled people but differs
significantly from state to state. Under the health care law, Medicaid would be
expanded on Jan. 1, 2014, to cover people making up to 138 percent of the
federal poverty line, or about $15,400 a year for an individual.
In
Florida, where Scott says he is rethinking his opposition, the state could end
up saving money through the Medicaid expansion, said Joan Alker, executive
director of the Georgetown University Center for Children and Families, which
studied the financing.
The
reason is Florida would spend less on a state program for people with catastrophic
medical bills.
Florida
has an estimated 3,952,000 uninsured residents. Alabama, which has no plans to
expand Medicaid, has 696,000 uninsured residents.
About
half the 30 million people gaining coverage under the law would do so through
Medicaid. Most of the new beneficiaries would be childless adults, but about
2.7 million would be parents with children at home. The federal government
would pay the full cost of the first three years of the expansion, gradually
phasing down to a 90 percent share.
The
Supreme Court said states can turn down the Medicaid expansion. But if a state
does so, many of its poorest residents would have no other way to get health
insurance.
The
subsidized private coverage also available under Obama’s law is only for people
making more than the poverty level, $11,170 for an individual. For the poor,
Medicaid is the only option.
So
far, eight states have said they will turn down the expansion, while 13 states
plus the District of Columbia have indicated they will accept it. The eight
declining are Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Maine, Mississippi, Oklahoma, South
Carolina, and Texas.
Nearly
2.8 million people would remain uninsured in those states, according to Urban
Institute estimates, with Texas alone accounting for close to half the total.
Health
and Human Services Secretary Kathleen Sebelius says states can take all the
time they need to decide. They can even sign up for the first three years of
the expansion and dropping out later.
But
she hasn’t answered the one question that many states have: Would the Obama
administration allow them to expand Medicaid just part way, taking in only
people below the poverty line?
That
means other low-income people currently eligible would be covered entirely on
the federal government’s dime, and they would be getting private coverage,
which is costlier than Medicaid.
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