In 2017 Obamacare will collapse! You heard it here first! The below
article all but says so! Americans that have been forced to purchase Obamacare
will simply stand-up, and tell the bureaucrat to stick-it!
Get
Ready for Huge Obamacare Premium Hikes in 2017
Amid rising drug and health care costs and roiling market
dynamics, the spokesperson for the nation’s health insurers is predicting
substantial increases next year in Obamacare premiums and related costs.
Without venturing a specific
percentage increase, Marilyn Tavenner, the president and CEO of America’s
Health Insurance Plans (AHIP), said in an
interview with Morning Consult that
the culmination of market shifts and rising health care costs will force stark
increases in health insurance rates in the coming year.
“I’ve been asked, what are the premiums going
to look like?” she said. “I don’t know because it also varies by state, market,
even within markets. But I think the overall trend is going to be higher than
we saw previous years. That’s my big prediction.”
If Tavenner is right, Obamacare
will jump dramatically—last year’s premium for the popular silver-level plan surged
11 percent on average. Although Tavenner didn’t mention deductibles,
in 2016, some states saw jumps of 76 percent, while the average deductible for
a 27-year-old male on a silver plan was 8 percent.
The warning to consumers from
Tavenner, the former administration official who headed the Center for Medicare
and Medicaid Services (CMS) and oversaw the disastrous launch of
HealthCare.gov, the Obamacare website, comes at a time of growing uncertainty
about the evolving makeup of the Obamacare health insurance market. With many
insurers struggling to find profitability in the program, the collapse of
nearly half of the 23 Obamacare insurance co-ops and this week’s announcement
that giant UnitedHealth Group intends to pull out of most Obamacare markets
across the country, anticipating future premiums and copayments is largely
risky guesswork.
Premiums for the current 2016 season rose on average by 8 percent
over the previous year, with 12.7 million Americans enrolling for coverage and
government subsidies, according to CMS. Federal officials stress that the
average rate doesn’t tell the whole story, and that in many cases after
consumers shop around for the best price and government subsidies are applied,
the actual premium increase is lower.
The Department of Health and
Human Services did a study looking at what consumers were estimated to pay
based on initial filings compared to what they actually paid. The study found
that last year, the average cost of Obamacare marketplace coverage for people
receiving tax credits went from $102 a month to $106 per month, a 4 percent
change -- despite warning from some of double-digit hikes.
Tavenner’s prediction may well be
an opening gambit in the negotiations between the industry and insurance
regulators about the 2017 premiums. As Morning Consult noted, many insurers
have begun submitting opening bids on raising their premium rates and
copayments, which will then be reviewed by the government and finalized this
fall.
With a major presidential and
congressional election looming this fall, the administration is doing all that
it can to tamp down fears of major hikes next year in Obamacare insurance
premiums and related out-of-pocket costs. Benjamin Wakana, a Department of
Health and Human Services spokesperson, said on Thursday that changes in health
care insurance rates are “not a reliable indicator” of what typical consumers
on average will pay. “Marketplace consumers would do well to put little
stock in those initial numbers,” he said in an email.
But Tavenner outlined several factors that she could put
considerable pressure on premium prices next year. Those include:
·
A general rise in the nation’s health
care tab. Overall, U.S. health care spending grew by 5.3 percent in 2014 –
reaching an historic level of $3 trillion, after years of relative cost
stability. Medical costs rise from year to year and will certainly affect the
next round of premium hikes.
·
Soaring prescription drug prices.
Insurers as well as government health care programs have been struggling to
keep pace with rising drug prices, especially newer specialty drugs to treat
the Hepatitis-C virus and cancer. Pfizer Inc., Amgen Inc., Allergan PLC and
other companies have raised U.S. prices for scores of branded drugs since late
December, with many of the increases between 9 percent and 10 percent,
according to the Wall Street
Journal .
·
The combination of market forces and
limitations imposed by the Affordable Care Act will put enormous pressure on
insurers to up their premiums. Under the law, there is a cap on insurers’
profits, companies are obliged to insure anyone regardless of their general
health or pre-existing conditions, and the insurance plans must be structured
in a certain way that often lead to losses.
·
Finally, two of three federal “risk
mitigation” programs created under Obamacare are due to expire in 2017. Those
programs were set up to protect insurers from huge, unexpected losses from
providing health insurance on the Obamacare exchanges. UnitedHealth and other
major insurers have found it difficult to accurately anticipate their costs in
providing coverage to sicker or older Americans, and set premiums that were
inadequate to cover their risks. Without those programs to fall back on, many
companies likely will seek to jack up their premiums.
“It’s kind of a myriad of factors,” Tavenner said in
predicting rising premium costs. “It’s not one factor.”
Clare Krusing, director of communications for AHIP, said in
an interview on Thursday that health insurance companies “are working through”
these factors right now in setting rates for the coming year and deciding
whether to participate.
“Plans are just beginning to file their rates, and it’s a
long process with state and federal regulators, until those are approved,” she
added. “Certainly plans are going to evaluate market conditions and regulatory
approvals, and that will all impact their participation overall” in Obamacare.
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