What
Happens If the Supreme Court Strikes Down Obamacare
If the chatter in our capital city this week proves accurate, the
Supreme Court is poised to strike down the Affordable Care Act in full.
The question on everyone’s mind is, “What then?”
I predict that Congress’s first order of business, before
addressing the plight of the uninsured, will be to reinstate, as a stand-alone
measure, the section of Obamacare that closes the so-called “Donut Hole” of the
Medicare Part D prescription drug program.
The reason is simple. Congress—all of it, not just one party—is
over-responsive to the demands of wealthy seniors. If and when they find out
they’re going to be adversely affected by the overturning of Obamacare, seniors
are going to raise holy hell. And since they were the bloc of voters most
resistant to its passage, the appropriate response to the ensuing outcry should
be the world’s tiniest violin—but it won’t be.
Another prediction. We’re going to see a sort of strange alchemy
in the opinion trends of low-information independents. When they become aware
of the fact that Obamacare contained not just spinach but sweets as well, their
reaction will be as follows: “But ... but, I didn’t know that was in
there!”
Conor Friedorsdorf sums it up nicely at the Atlantic:
Put simply, Americans want all the freedom of a market-based
health insurance system, all the security of a system heavily regulated by
government, and the option to put off purchasing this guaranteed insurance
until it’s needed. And all for no more than they’re paying now. It seems
whoever is in power will be doomed to disappoint.
All true—with the ever-thus exception of seniors, who want to
continue enjoying the benefits of single-payer insurance (for me and not for
thee), and for no more than they’re paying now. They’ll likely get their wish.
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